Favorable views of President
Donald Trump
have decreased by 15 percentage points in Texas, which is decidedly
Republican
state
Democrats
have eagerly awaited the opportunity to switch, as revealed by a new survey published on Thursday.
contacted the White House for remarks through an emailed message.
Why It Matters
For many years, Texas has been among the most conservative states in the nation, having last supported a Democratic presidential candidate in 1976. During the 2010s, however, the state started moving slightly towards the Democratic side.
Republicans
voters who have gone missing in suburban regions near Austin, Dallas, and Houston.
However, in 2024, it decisively swung back toward the Republican party, with Trump securing the victory by almost 14 percentage points. This shift can be attributed partly to his robust support among Hispanic voters in South Texas border regions, areas that had historically been reliable Democratic strongholds but changed allegiance and supported him instead.
If Texas, which holds 40 Electoral College votes, turns into a swing state for Democrats, it could significantly reshape American politics in upcoming elections. Nevertheless, the outcomes of the 2024 polls have cast doubt on whether this shift will occur anytime soon.
What to Know
According to a recent poll conducted by the research organization Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR), Trump’s approval rating in Texas appears to be declining, mirroring a national trend where economic worries and tariff issues are increasingly prominent.
His favorability in the latest poll is -3, with 50 percent of Texans viewing him unfavorably compared to 47 percent who view him favorably. This is down from a positive 12 favorability rating after the November presidential election.
That amounts to a 15 point shift away from the Republican president.
The poll also found that national conservative figures like Vice President
JD Vance
and billionaire
Elon Musk
The leaders of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) are behind by three points and ten points respectively.
Senator John Cornyn, a Republican who is set for reelection in 2026, has a favorability rating of -22, as just 21 percent of participants indicated they have a favorable opinion of him. The attorney general made this observation.
Ken Paxton
, considered as a possible conservative opponent to Cornyn, has a favorability rating of -5.
On the other hand, ex-Democratic Representative Colin Allred boasts a favorability rating of +7. He confronted GOP Senator
Ted Cruz
in the
Senate
Although he finished second place last year, losing by 8.4 points, his performance was significantly better compared to that of the Vice President.
Kamala Harris
in the southwestern state.
What People Are Saying
In a survey report: TPOR
The statistics indicate a notable decrease in President Donald Trump’s approval ratings from November to March. During this period, his favorability rating fell from being viewed positively by 55%, with only 43% viewing him unfavorably (+12), down to just 47% having a positive view and 50% an unfavorable one (-3)—representing a shift of 15 points. Furthermore, his ‘very favorable’ rating decreased from 42% in November 2024 to 37% in March 2025.
On March 25, CNN data analyst Harry Enten stated:
“All we talk about is how unpopular Donald Trump is, but in reality, he’s basically more popular than he was at any point in term number one, and more popular than he was when he won [the] election back in November 2024.”
What Happens Next
How Trump’s approval rating will shift over the coming weeks and months will be determined by a number of factors ranging from tariffs, foreign policy moves and the economy. Democrats will continue to aim to flip Texas, but it’s unclear whether their dream will become a reality in the near future.
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